Objective To analyze the results of intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) support in patients receiving coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) and the risk factors of postoperative death. Methods The clinical data of 334 patients undergoing CABG procedure and receiving IABP support in Fuwai Hospital from January 1999 to April 2012 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the IABP insertion timing, the patients were divided into three groups: pre-, intra- and postoperative IABP groups. There were 45 males and 11 females aged 60.5±10.7 years in the preoperative IABP group, 84 males and 23 females aged 61.1±8.4 years in the intraoperative IABP group and 119 males and 52 females aged 61.4±8.5 years in the postoperative IABP group.Outcomes of the three groups were compared, including mortality, major complications, ICU stay, hospital stay and total costs. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to predict independent risk factors for postoperative in-hospital death. Results The total in-hospital mortality was 16.8% (56/334). Mortality was significantly different among the pre-, intra- and postoperative IABP groups (3.6% vs.23.4%vs. 17.0%, P=0.006). There was no significant difference in complications among the three groups (P=0.960). Multivariable logistic regression analysis indicated that independent risk factors for postoperative mortality included old age (OR=1.05, P=0.040), female (OR=3.34, P<0.001) and increasing left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD,OR=1.06, P=0.040). Preoperative IABP support was protective factor (OR=0.10, P=0.050). Conclusion The results of IABP support in CABG patients are satisfactory, and patients with preoperative IABP have a lower mortality. Risk factors for postoperative death include old age, female and increasing LVEDD. Preoperative IABP support is a protective factor.
Objectives To assess the relationship between subclinical hyperthyroidism and the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD). Methods PubMed, EMbase, The Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CNKI, VIP, WanFang Data and CBM databases were searched for studies on the relationship between subclinical hyperthyroidism and the incidence of CHD from inception to October 2016. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data, and assessed the risk of bias of included studies. Then, meta-analysis was performed by using RevMan 5.3 and Stata 12.0 software. Results In total, 14 cohort studies were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that subclinical hyperthyroidism was associated with the incidence of coronary heart disease (RR=1.19, 95%CI 1.01 to 1.40, P=0.04) and all-cause mortality (RR=1.36, 95%CI 1.11 to 1.67, P=0.003). Conclusions Subclinical hyperthyroidism is associated with an increased risk of CHD and all-cause mortality. Due to the limitation of quality and quantity of the studies, the above conclusions are required to be verified by large-scale and high quality research.
Objective To analyze the characteristic and temporal trend in mortality and disease burden of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) and other forms of dementia in Guangzhou from 2008 to 2019, and estimate the disease burden attributable to smoking to provide evidence for promoting local health policy of prevention and intervention of dementia. Methods Based on the data of Guangzhou surveillance point of the National Mortality Surveillance System (NMSS), the crude mortality, standardized mortality, years of life lost (YLL) of AD and other dementia were calculated. The indirect method was used to estimate years lived with disability (YLD) and disability-adjusted life years (DALY).The distribution and changing trends of the index rates were compared from 2008 to 2019 using Joinpoint Regression Program. Based on the data of Guangzhou Chronic Disease and Risk Factors Monitoring System in 2013, the indexes of disease burden of AD and other forms of dementia attributable to smoking in 2018 was calculated. Results The standardized mortality rate, YLL rate, YLD rate and DALY rate of AD and other forms of dementia in Guangzhou increased from 0.45/100 000, 0.05‰, 0.02‰ and 0.07 ‰ in 2008 to 1.28/100 000, 0.15‰, 0.07‰ and 0.22‰ in 2019, respectively. The average annual changing trend was statistically significant (AAPC=11.30%, 13.09%, 13.09%, 13.09%, P<0.001）. In most years, the mortality and disease burden of women were higher than those of men, but men had higher growing trend than women in standardized mortality rate, YLL rate, YLD rate and DALY rate from 2008 to 2019, with a slower growing speed after the year 2012.The disease burden of dementia attributable to smoking in men was significantly higher than that in women. Conclusion The mortality and disease burden of AD and other forms of dementia in Guangzhou have dramatically increased over the past twelve years. Intervention against modifiable factors such as smoking, and prevention and screening for dementia in key populations should be strengthened. Support policies for dementia care management should be adopted to reduce the disease burden caused by premature death and disability.
Surgical risk prediction is to predict postoperative morbidity and mortality with internationally authoritative mathematical models. For patients undergoing high-risk cardiac surgery, surgical risk prediction is helpful for decision-making on treatment strategies and minimization of postoperative complications, which has gradually arouse interest of cardiac surgeons. There are many risk prediction models for cardiac surgery in the world, including European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE), Ontario Province Risk (OPR)score, Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS)score, Cleveland Clinic risk score, Quality Measurement and Management Initiative (QMMI), American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA)Guidelines for Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery, and Sino System for Coronary Operative Risk Evaluation (SinoSCORE). All these models are established from the database of thousands or ten thousands patients undergoing cardiac surgery in a specific region. As different sources of data and calculation imparities exist, there are probably bias and heterogeneities when the models are applied in other regions. How to decrease deviation and improve predicting effects had become the main research target in the future. This review focuses on the progress of risk prediction models for patients undergoing cardiac surgery.
ObjectiveTo analyze the epidemic trend of thyroid cancer in China from 2005 to 2018, and understand the estimated epidemiological situation of thyroid cancer in China in 2022 based on the thyroid cancer registration data reported by the National Cancer Registration Center and the China Cancer Registration Annual Report. MethodsThe cases of new thyroid cancer and deaths in China were analyzed according to the data of approximately 700 cancer registries in 2018 and the data of 106 cancer registries from 2005 to 2018, then stratified by sex, age, urban and rural areas, and main regions in China. And the estimated incidence and mortality of thyroid cancer in China in 2022 were analyzed based on the population data in 2020. Results① The age standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age standardized mortality (ASMR) of thyroid cancer in China from 2005 to 2018: in the whole population, the ASIR showed a relatively rapid upward trend and the ASMR showed a relatively slower upward trend; The ASIR and ASMR of men were lower than those of women and the trend of change was also slower than that of women; The ASIR of thyroid cancer in the whole urban population was markedly higher than that in the rural population and the average annual rising rate (AARR) in the urban and rural areas was 6.31% and 0.38% respectively, while the ASMR had no obviously difference between the urban and rural populations (the AARR was 3.23% and 2.33% respectively); The ASIR of thyroid cancer was the highest in the eastern region with a markedly rising, but its ASMR had a relatively lower rising rate, while the ASIR in the western region was relatively lower and the ASMR also showed a downward trend, and the ASMR in the central region had a relatively obvious rising rate. ② The estimated incidence and mortality of thyroid cancer in China in 2022: the estimated ASIR and ASMR of the whole population in 2022 was still rising as compared with in 2018 (ASIR: 24.64 per 100 000 vs. 12.01 per 100 000; ASMR: 0.45 per 100 000 vs. 0.37 per 100 000 ); The estimated ASIR and ASMR in women were still much higher than in men (ASIR: 36.51 per 100 000 vs. 13.25 per 100 000; ASMR: 0.55 per 100 000 vs. 0.35 per 100 000); Among the urban and rural populations, the estimated ASIR in urban was still higher than in rural areas (27.87 per 100 000 vs. 17.66 per 100 000), while the estimated ASMR had no marked difference between them (0.41 per 100 000 vs. 0.52 per 100 000). Compared with 2018, the development trend of the ASIR was still rising (urban: 27.87 per 100 000 vs. 15.58 per 100 000; rural: 17.66 per 100 000 vs. 8.95 per 100 000). The age specific ASIR of thyroid cancer showed a marked sex differences, that is, it began to rise rapidly from the 20–30 years old group, and reached the peak at the 45–50 years old group (the highest ASIR was 97.00 per 100 000) in women; However, which had been in a slower upward trend from the 0 to 20 years old group, while it had been rising rapidly from the 20 to 25 years old group, reaching the peak at the 30–35 years old group (the highest ASIR was 31.60 per 100 000) in men. The overall trend of age specific ASMR for thyroid cancer was similar for both males and females, with a slower increase starting from the 0–35 years old age group and continuous rising till 85 years old and above. ConclusionsThe incidence and mortality of thyroid cancer in China are rising, and the disease burden is still severe and the differences are existed in urban and rural areas, sex, age, and main regions. Overall, the prevention and control situation is complex and severe in China.
Objective To analyze the incidence and mortality of acute viral hepatitis in China, project its trends from 2022 to 2030, and provide valuable insights for the prevention and control of viral hepatitis. Methods The incidence and mortality rates of acute viral hepatitis in China from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database. The change rates and the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) for each indicator were calculated. Additionally, an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was used to project the incidence and mortality of acute viral hepatitis in China from 2022 to 2030. Results From 1990 to 2021, the incidence rates of acute hepatitis A (AHA), acute hepatitis B (AHB), acute hepatitis C (AHC), and acute hepatitis E (AHE) in China all showed a declining trend (EAPC=−1.980%, −2.664%, −2.078%, −1.686%; P<0.05), with a particularly marked decrease in mortality (EAPC=−11.662%, −7.411%, −12.541%, −7.504%; P<0.05). According to ARIMA model projections, the incidence rates of AHA and AHB were expected to continue declining from 2022 to 2030, while the incidence rates of AHC and AHE were expected to rise. In 2030, the projected incidence rates of AHA, AHB, AHC, and AHE were 890.425/100000, 824.158/100000, 59.202/100000, and 300.377/100000, respectively. The mortality rates of AHA, AHC, and AHE were projected to remain stable from 2022 to 2030, while the mortality rate of AHB was expected to decline. In 2030, the projected mortality rates of AHA, AHB, AHC, and AHE were 0.002/100000, 0/100000, 0.004/100000, and 0.011/100000, respectively. Conclusions From 1990 to 2021, the overall incidence and mortality of acute viral hepatitis in China showed a downward trend. However, the incidence rates of AHC and AHE may present an upward trend in the future, which suggests that the government and relevant health authorities should adjust their prevention and control strategies in a timely manner.
Risk stratifications are valuable aids for stratifying patients by disease severity, driving informed clinical decisions, because they allow the selection of the most appropriate strategy of treatment based on the patient's individual characteristics. The clinical algorithms help patients and their families to get a better understanding of issues relevant to treatment strategies and subsequent risks as part of the process to obtain informed consent. The current risk stratifications of coronary artery bypass grafting included the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Score, the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation, SinoSystem for Coronary Operative Risk Evaluation. This review focuses on the progress of risk stratifications of coronary artery bypass grafting for patients undergoing cardiac surgery.
目的 评估中医药临床研究是否与我国主要疾病负担相关。 方法 首先从1999年－2004年出版的13种中医、中西医结合杂志中手工检索出随机对照试验（RCT），并提取出杂志名称、出版年限、治疗的疾病类别及样本含量等数据。然后采用死亡率和伤残调整寿命年（DALY）作为衡量标准，统计2002年我国疾病负担前30位病因的RCT数量，采用秩相关分析这些疾病负担与发表的中医药RCT及其受试者数量的关系。 结果 最终确认7 422个RCT，约38%的RCT来自于3种国家级杂志。这些RCT覆盖了我国疾病负担中的主要病种，其中4 280个RCT（57.7%）研究前30位病因合并产生的42个病种，只有3个病种（7%）没有任何RCT研究。采用DALY得到的相关系数分别是0.108（P=0.569）、0.092（P=0.628），通过死亡率产生的相关系数分别是0.453（P=0.012）、0.536（P=0.002）。 结论 中医药RCT与采用死亡率衡量的疾病负担明显相关，但采用DALY分析却未发现二者存在相关性。中医药临床研究可能更注重死亡率高的病种，一定程度上忽略了DALY衡量的疾病负担。
ObjectiveTo systematically review the associations of cognitive frailty with mortality and hospitalization in the elderly. MethodsThe VIP, PubMed, CNKI, WanFang Data, CBM, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science databases were electronically searched to collect cohort studies on the association of cognitive frailty with mortality or hospitalization in the elderly from inception to May, 2023. Two reviewers independently screened the literature, extracted data and assessed risk of bias of the included studies. Meta-analysis was performed by R 4.2.2 software. ResultsA total of 19 cohort studies involving 63 624 elderly were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that compared with healthy elder, the elder with cognitive frailty had a higher mortality (OR=2.75, 95%CI 2.10 to 3.59, P<0.01) and hospitalization (OR=1.67, 95%CI 1.40 to 2.00, P<0.01). Subgroup analysis showed that cognitive frailty was related to the risk of death in different status of frailty and cognitive function, different assessment tools, different countries of development, different follow-up time and research sites. At the same time, different status of frailty and cognitive function and different levels of development of countries were related to the risk of hospitalization. ConclusionCurrent evidence shows that cognitive frailty can increase the risk of hospitalization and mortality in the elderly. It is suggested that early screening and intervention of cognitive frailty should be carried out to effectively reduce the risk of adverse consequences, so as to achieve healthy aging.