ObjectiveTo systematically review mortality risk prediction models for acute type A aortic dissection (AAAD). MethodsPubMed, EMbase, Web of Science, CNKI, WanFang Data, VIP and CBM databases were electronically searched to collect studies of mortality risk prediction models for AAAD from inception to July 31th, 2021. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of included studies. Systematic review was then performed. ResultsA total of 19 studies were included, of which 15 developed prediction models. The performance of prediction models varied substantially (AUC were 0.56 to 0.92). Only 6 studies reported calibration statistics, and all models had high risk of bias. ConclusionsCurrent prediction models for mortality and prognosis of AAAD patients are suboptimal, and the performance of the models varies significantly. It is still essential to establish novel prediction models based on more comprehensive and accurate statistical methods, and to conduct internal and a large number of external validations.
Abstract： Objective To analyze risk factors for perioperative mortality in the arterial switch operation (ASO), in order to provide better operation and decrease the mortality rate. Methods We enrolled 208 ASO patients including 157 males and 51 females at Fu Wai Hospital between January 1, 2001 and December 31, 2007. The age ranged from 6 h to 17 years with the median age of 90 d and the weight ranged from 3 kg to 43 kg with the median weight of 5 kg. Among the patients, 127 had transposition of great artery (TGA) with ventricular septal defect (VSD), and 81 patients had TGA with intact ventricular septum (IVS) or with the diameter of VSD smaller than 5 mm. Coronary anatomy was normal (1LCX2R) in 151 patients and abnormal in the rest including 15 patients with single coronary artery, 6 with intramural and 36 with inverse coronary artery. Preoperative, perioperative and postoperative clinical data of all patients were collected to establish a database which was then analyzed by univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis to find out the risk factors formortality in ASO. Results There were 24 perioperative deaths (11.54%) in which 12 died of postoperative infection with multiple organ failure (MOF), 10 died of low cardiac output syndrome, 1 died of pulmonary hypertension, and 1 died of cerebral complications. Among them, 20 patients (18.30%) died in early years from 2001 to 2005, while only 4 (4.00%) died in the time period from 2006 to 2007, which was a significant decrease compared with the former period (Plt;0.05). The univariate analysis revealed that cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) time was significantly longer in the death group than in the survival group（236±93 min vs. 198±50 min, P=0.002）, and occurrence of major coronary events (33.3% vs. 2.2%, P=0.000) and unusual coronary artery patterns（33.3% vs. 6.5%,P=0.000） were much more in the death group than in the survival group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that early year of [CM(159mm]operation (OR=7.463, P=0.003), unusual coronary artery patterns (OR=6.303,P=0.005) and occurrence of majorcoronary events (OR=17.312, P=0.000) were independent predictors for perioperative mortality. Conclusion The ASO can be performed with low perioperative mortality in our hospital currently. Occurrence of major coronary events, unusual coronary artery patterns and year of surgery before 2006 are independent predictors for perioperative mortality.
ObjectiveTo observe the clinical characteristics, the characteristics of organ dysfunction and death related factors in the natural course of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). MethodsThe data of 302 cases of SAP from January 1999 to June 2007 in our hospital were retrospective analyzed. The APACHEⅡscore, state of each organ, and death related factors were recorded and analyzed according to the admission and on 1, 3, 5, 7, 14, and 28 d after admission, a total of 7 time points. ResultsIn natural course of SAP, the APACHEⅡscore took on a double-peak type distribution, the peaks appearing nearly about one week and two weeks after the onset of SAP. Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), hypoxemia, metabolic acidosis, hyperglycemia, and abdominal compartment syndrome were the main causes of early organ failure. Incidence of organ failure and infection increased significantly for patients with intestinal paralysis lasting longer than five days. The most affected organ failure was followed by respiratory organs, peripheral circulation, kidneys, and gastrointestinal tract. The mortality rate increased significantly for patients with organ failure more than 48 hours. Four cases of death (9.5%) caused by severe shock and cardiac arrest within 24 h after admission; 6 deaths (14.3%) led by persistent shock with ARDS or acute renal failure within 24-72 h; 14 cases of death (33.3%) arose from 3-10 d after onset, mainly for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), acute renal failure associated with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS); 18 cases (42.8%) of the death arose on 10 d after the onset, mainly for the MODS caused by intra-abdominal infections, bleeding, pancreatic fistula, and biliary fistula. ConclusionsThe natural course of SAP can be divided into three phases:systemic inflammation, systemic infection, and recovery. Duration of intestinal paralysis is an important factor affecting the natural history of SAP. Early complications in patients with organ failure appeared as SIRS, metabolic acidosis, hyperglycemia, and abdominal hypertension. MODS led by SIRS is the leading cause in early death of SAP; MODS caused by pancreas and peripancreatic tissue infections, abdominal bleeding, pancreatic fistula, and biliary fistula are the main death factor in the late phase. Early recovery of gastrointestinal function can reduce the incidence of MODS.
ObjectiveTo analyze the causes of death of patients with asthma-chronic obstructive pulmonary disease overlap syndrome (ACOS). MethodsA total of 493 patients admitted between January 2006 and Octomber 2015 were respectively analyzed, including 348 asthma patients and 145 ACOS patients. The patients was divided into a survival group and a death group based on the outcome. The ACOS patients were divided into three subgroups based on FEV1% pred level (≥80%, 50%-80%, and < 50%, respectively). The basic characteristics and causes of death were analyzed using χ2-test, t-test and Fish-test based on data type. ResultsThe age (t=3.457, P < 0.001), male proportion (χ2=15.394, P < 0.001) and smoking history (χ2=12.418, P=0.002) had significant differences between the survival group and the death group. The proportion of ACOS patients was higher in the death group (42% vs. 27%, χ2=7.033, P=0.008), and the mortality was also higher in the ACOS patients (21% vs. 12%). The proportion of male patients was higher in the ACOS patients than that in the asthma patients (86% vs. 38%, P < 0.001). The leading three causes of death in the ACOS patients were malignant diseases (45%), pneumonia (26%), and cardiovascular diseases (16%). Malignant diseases were the main cause of death in the ACOS patients with FEV1% pred≥50%, while pneumonia was the main cause of death in those with FEV1% pred≥50%. There was no significant difference in cause of death distribution between three subgroups with different FEV1% pred (P=0.318). ConclusionThe main cause of death of ACOS patients is malignant diseases, the followed are pneumonia and cardiovascular diseases.
ObjectiveTo study the clinical characteristics of elderly hemodialysis (HD) patients and discuss how to control their complications, in order to improve their quality of life and lower their mortality rate. MethodContrastive study and analysis were performed on the clinical data of 98 maintenance HD patients (between elderly and young HD patients) between January 2013 and January 2014. Complications, rate of hospitalization and mortality were analyzed during the follow-up of one year. ResultsThe ratio of hypertensive kidney disease and diabetic nephropathy, as primary disease of the elderly HD patients, gradually increased. More people chose to use semi-permanent jugular vein catheter for elderly HD patients. Compared with young HD patients, the levels of hemoglobin, albumin, serum creatinine, KT/v were lower in the elderly patients, and C-reactive protein was much higher (P<0.05). There was no significant difference in cholesterol, triglyceride, calcium, phosphorus, parathormone between the two groups (P>0.05). Dialysis-related hypotension and blocking of vascular access occurred more frequently in elderly HD patients. Hospitalization rate and mortality rate were higher in elderly HD patients (P<0.05). ConclusionsImproving nutritional status, keeping vascular access unobstructed for a long time and decreasing complications related to hemodialysis are helpful for elderly HD patients to enhance their quality of life and reduce the mortality rate.
Objectives To assess the relationship between subclinical hyperthyroidism and the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD). Methods PubMed, EMbase, The Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CNKI, VIP, WanFang Data and CBM databases were searched for studies on the relationship between subclinical hyperthyroidism and the incidence of CHD from inception to October 2016. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data, and assessed the risk of bias of included studies. Then, meta-analysis was performed by using RevMan 5.3 and Stata 12.0 software. Results In total, 14 cohort studies were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that subclinical hyperthyroidism was associated with the incidence of coronary heart disease (RR=1.19, 95%CI 1.01 to 1.40, P=0.04) and all-cause mortality (RR=1.36, 95%CI 1.11 to 1.67, P=0.003). Conclusions Subclinical hyperthyroidism is associated with an increased risk of CHD and all-cause mortality. Due to the limitation of quality and quantity of the studies, the above conclusions are required to be verified by large-scale and high quality research.
Abstract: Objective To explore the inhospital mortalityrelated risk factors in the patients undergoing offpump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCAB). Methods We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 215 patients undergoing OPCAB in our hospital from November 2007 to November 2008. There were 171 males and 44 females aged between 40 and 85 years old. Among them, there were 47 patients older than 70 years old. All of them were coronary artery disease (CAD) patients with triple vessel disease. We adopted univarialble analysis and logistic multivariable regression analysis to screen the risk factors for the mortality of OPCAB. Results Six patients died in hospital after OPCAB with a mortality rate of 2.79% (6/215). No renal dysfunction or respiratory failure occurred. The rate of reoperation for bleeding was 4.65% (10/215) and all the 10 patients having undergone reoperation were alive. A total of 209 patients were all alive after 1year follow-up. The results of logistic multivariable regression analysis showed that New York Heart Association (NYHA) Ⅲ and Ⅳ heart function (OR=42.116，95% CI 3.319 to 534.465，P=0.004) and mechanical ventilation duration (OR=1.007，95%CI 1.001 to 1.013，P=0.028) were independent risk factors for inhospital mortality of OPCAB. Conclusion OPCAB is an effective and safe treatment for CAD with triple vessel disease. NYHA Ⅲ and Ⅳ heart function and mechanical ventilation time after OPCAB are the risk factors for OPCAB inhospital mortality, yet, needs further study with large sample.
With significantly increasing proportion of high-risk patients undergoing cardiovascular surgery, a quantitative risk stratification system of perioperative patients is needed for cardiovascular surgeons. European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE) is a widely-used risk prediction model for adult patients undergoing cardiovascular surgery in the world. Research data from Chinese Cardiac Surgery Registry show that the performance of EuroSCORE in the prediction of postoperative risk of Chinese cardiovascular surgical patients is not satisfactory. Thus, the first Chinese coronary operative risk evaluation model (Sino system for coronary operative risk evaluation,SinoSCORE) is established with latest cardiovascular surgery data by Collaboration Association of Cardiovascular Surgeon in China, and has been widely used in clinical practice. This review focuses on the application and prospect of EuroSCORE and SinoSCORE for the prediction of mortality after cardiovascular surgery in adults.
Objective To explore the correlation between gender and long-term prognosis of patients with type-B acute aortic dissection (AAD) after endovascular therapy (EVT). Methods From January to December 2012, all patients with type-B AAD undergoing EVT were enrolled by retrospective and observational study. They were divided into male and female groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to analyze the correlation between gender and the cumulative survival rate. Results A total of 131 tyep-B AAD patients who had undergone EVT were selected, including 97 males (74.0%), and 34 females (26.0%). The medium follow-up duration was 2.1 years. Smoking history, cholesterol, white blood cell count, hemoglobin, creatinine and uric acid of the patients in males were higher than those in females (P<0.05); while the difference in other indexes were not significant (P>0.05). The inhospital mortality of male patients was 10 (10.3%), and was 3 (8.8%) in female patients; there was no significant difference between the two groups (P=0.803). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that there was no significant difference in cumulative survival rate between the two groups (84.5% vs. 82.4%; Logrank test χ2=0.023, P=0.880). Conclusion No correlation between gender and long-term prognosis in patients with type-B AAD after EVT is found.
Objective To analyze the causes of injury-related deaths of permanent residents in Zigong city, so as to provide scientific references for the prevention and control of injury deaths and for putting forward to relevant health policies as well. Methods Based on the death surveillance data of Zigong from 2001 to 2009, following indicators were analyzed, such as cause specific mortality, age specific mortality and potential years of life lost (PYLL). Results An accumulative total of 10 957 people died of injury from 2001 to 2009, and the crude mortality was 38.13/100 thousands, while the standardized mortality was 36.07/100 thousands. The highest mortality was at the age of more than 65 years of age. The first six injury death causes were as follows: drowning, transport accidents except motor vehicle, suicide, motor vehicle accidents, accidental falling and accidental poisoning. The PYLL of injury death was 334 325.50 person year, APYLL was 34.67 year, and the PYLL rate was 11.63‰ which was higher in male than that of female. Conclusion The epidemiological analysis of injury-related deaths shows an ascending trend, which is the main reason resulting in the loss of residents’ life. Injury has become one of the most serious problems of public health, and it should be prevented and controlled by formulating effective measures and strategies aiming at the injury death spectrum and the target population of Zigong city.