ObjectiveProlonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) is a prognostic marker for short-term adverse outcomes in patients after lung transplantation.The risk of prolonged mechanical ventilation after lung transplantation is still not clear. The study to identify the risk factors of prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) after lung transplantation.Methods This retrospective observational study recruited patients who underwent lung transplantation in Wuxi People’s Hospital from January 2020 to December 2022. Relevant information was collected from patients and donors, including recipient data (gender, age, BMI, blood type, comorbidities), donor data (age, BMI, time of endotracheal intubation, oxygenation index, history of smoking, and any comorbidity with multidrug-resistant bacterial infections), and surgical data (surgical mode, incision type, operation time, cold ischemia time of the donor lung, intraoperative bleeding, and ECMO support), and postoperative data (multi-resistant bacterial lung infection, multi-resistant bacterial bloodstream infection, and mean arterial pressure on postoperative admission to the monitoring unit). Patients with a duration of mechanical ventilation ≤72 hours were allocated to the non-prolonged mechanical ventilation group, and patients with a duration of mechanical ventilation>72 hours were allocated to the prolonged mechanical ventilation group. LASSO regression analysis was applied to screen risk factors., and a clinical prediction model for the risk of prolonged mechanical ventilation after lung.ResultsPatients who met the inclusion criteria were divided into the training set and the validation set. There were 307 cases in the training set group and 138 cases in the validation set group. The basic characteristics of the training set and the validation set were compared. There were statistically significant differences in the recipient’s BMI, donor’s gender, CRKP of the donor lung swab, whether the recipient had pulmonary infection before the operation, the type of transplantation, the cold ischemia time of the donor lung, whether ECMO was used during the operation, the duration of ECMO assistance, CRKP of sputum, and the CRE index of the recipient's anal test (P<0.05). 2. The results of the multivariate logistic regression model showed that female recipients, preoperative mechanical ventilation in recipients, preoperative pulmonary infection in recipients, intraoperative application of ECMO, and the detection of multi-drug resistant Acinetobacter baumannii, multi-drug resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae and maltoclomonas aeruginosa in postoperative sputum were independent risk factors for prolonged mechanical ventilation after lung transplantation. The AUC of the clinical prediction model in the training set and the validation set was 0.838 and 0.828 respectively, suggesting that the prediction model has good discrimination. In the decision curves of the training set and the validation set, the threshold probabilities of the curves in the range of 0.05-0.98 and 0.02-0.85 were higher than the two extreme lines, indicating that the model has certain clinical validity.ConclusionsFemale patients, Preoperative pulmonary infection, preoperative mechanical ventilation,blood type B, blood type O, application of ECMO assistance, multi-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii infection, multi-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae infection, and multi-resistant Stenotrophomonas maltophilia infection are independent risk factors for PMV (prolonged mechanical ventilation) after lung transplantation.