Objective To investigate the prognostic differences and decision-making role in postoperative radiotherapy of four molecular subtypes in pT1-2N1M0 stage breast cancer. Methods The clinicopathological data of 1526 patients with pT1-2N1M0 breast cancer treated at West China Hospital of Sichuan University between 2008 and 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. χ2 test was used to compare the clinicopathological features among patients with different molecular subtypes. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank test were used to draw the survival curves and compare the overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) among patients with different molecular subtypes. Cox regression model was used to determine the influencing factors of OS of patients after radical mastectomy. Results Among the 1526 patients with pT1-2N1M0 breast cancer, there were 674 cases (44.2%) of Luminal A subtype, 530 cases (34.7%) of Luminal B subtype, 174 cases (11.4%) of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (Her-2) overexpression subtype, and 148 cases (9.7%) of triple-negative subtype. The 5-year OS rates of Luminal A, Luminal B, Her-2 overexpression and triple negative patients were 98.6%, 94.3%, 95.5% and 91.2%, respectively (χ2=11.712, P=0.001), and the 5-year BCSS rates were 99.3%, 94.6%, 95.5% and 92.5%, respectively (χ2=18.547, P<0.001). Multiple Cox regression analysis showed that menstrual status [hazard ratio (HR)=0.483, 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.253, 0.923), P=0.028] and whether endocrine therapy [HR=2.021, 95%CI (1.012, 4.034), P=0.046] were prognostic factors for the 5-year OS rate of breast cancer patients after radical mastectomy (P<0.05). However, it failed to reveal that Luminal subtypes and postoperative radiotherapy were prognostic factors for the 5-year OS rate (P>0.05). Conclusions In pT1-2N1M0 breast cancer patients, the 5-year OS rate and 5-year BCSS rate in triple-negative patients are the lowest. The relationship between Luminal classification, postoperative radiotherapy and survival in patients after radical mastectomy needs further study in the future.
ObjectiveTo investigate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of resectable esophageal small cell carcinoma after surgical resection.MethodsA retrospective study of patients with resectable esophageal small cell carcinoma undergoing surgical resection from January 2009 to June 2015 in the Department of Thoracic Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Fourth People's Hospital and Department of Thoracic Surgery, West China Hospital of Sichuan University was performed. Survival analysis was conducted by Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test. Cox regression model was used for identifying independent prognostic factors.ResultsA total of 53 patients with resectable esophageal small cell carcinoma were included for analysis. The mean age was 58.4 ± 8.3 years and there were 42 male patients and 11 female patients. Forty-two patients were diagnosed as pure esophageal small cell carcinoma while 11 patients were diagnosed with mixed esophageal small cell carcinoma, who were all mixed with squamous cell carcinoma. Most of the esophageal small cell carcinomas were located in the middle (58.5%) and lower (32.1%) segments of the esophagus. Thirty patients (56.6%) were found to have lymph node metastasis, and 7 patients (13.2%) were found to have lymphovascular invasion. According to the 2009 TNM staging criteria for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, there were 12 patients with stage Ⅰ disease, 19 patients with stage Ⅱ disease, and 22 patients with stage Ⅲ disease. Most of the patients underwent left thoracotomy with two-field lymphadenectomy. Postoperatively, only twenty-two patients (41.5%) received adjuvant chemoradiotherapy. The median survival time of these patients was 20.1 months, and the 1- and 3-year survival rate was 75.5% and 33.1%, respectively. For prognosis, age, gender, pathological type, tumor location, and lymphovascular invasion had no significant impact on long-term survival of these patients. However, TNM stage (1 year survival rate: stage Ⅰ: 91.7%; stage Ⅱ: 78.9%; stage Ⅲ: 63.6%; P=0.004) and postoperative adjuvant therapy (1 year survival rate: 81.8% vs. 71.0%; P=0.005) had significant impact on the survival of patients with esophageal small cell carcinoma. In multivariate analysis, TNM stage and postoperative adjuvant therapy were independent prognostic factors for long-term prognosis of patients with esophageal small cell carcinoma.ConclusionEsophageal small cell carcinoma is very rare, with high malignancy and poor prognosis. For patients with resectable esophageal small cell carcinoma, the TNM staging system of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma can be used to direct the choice of treatment options. For early stage esophageal small cell carcinoma (stage Ⅰ/Ⅱ), surgery plus postoperative adjuvant chemoradiotherapy can be the prior therapeutic choice, while for locally advanced esophageal small cell carcinoma (stage Ⅲ), chemoradiotherapy should be the preferred treatment.
ObjectiveTo investigate the prognostic value of preoperative serum albumin-to-globulin ratio (AGR) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in the overall survival (OS) of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), and to establish an individualized nomogram model and evaluate its efficacy, in order to provide a possible evaluation basis for the clinical treatment and postoperative follow-up of ESCC patients. MethodsAGR, NLR, clinicopathological and follow-up data of ESCC patients diagnosed via pathology in the Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from 2010 to 2017 were collected. The correlation between NLR/AGR and clinicopathological data were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test were used for survival analysis. The optimal cut-off values of AGR and NLR were determined by X-tile software, and the patients were accordingly divided into a high-level group and a low-level group. At the same time, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors affecting OS in the ESCC patients, and a nomogram prediction model was constructed and internally verified. The diagnostic efficacy of the model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve, and the clinical application value was evaluated by decision curve analysis. ResultsA total of 150 patients were included in this study, including 105 males and 45 females with a mean age of 62.3±9.3 years, and the follow-up time was 1-5 years. The 5-year OS rate of patients in the high-level AGR group was significantly higher than that in the low-level group (χ2=6.339, P=0.012), and the median OS of the two groups was 25 months and 12.5 months, respectively. The 5-year OS rate of patients in the high-level NLR group was significantly lower than that in the low-level NLR group (χ2=5.603, P=0.018), and the median OS of the two groups was 18 months and 39 months, respectively. Multivariate Cox analysis showed that AGR, NLR, T stage, lymph node metastasis, N stage, and differentiation were independent risk factors for the OS of ESCC patients. The C-index of the nomogram model was 0.689 [95%CI (0.640, 0.740)] after internal validation. The area under the ROC curve of predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rate was 0.773, 0.724 and 0.725, respectively. At the same time, the calibration curve and the decision curve suggest that the model had certain efficacy in predicting survival and prognosis. ConclusionPreoperative AGR and NLR are independent risk factors for ESCC patients. High level of AGR and low level of NLR may be associated with longer OS in the patients; the nomogram model based on AGR, NLR and clinicopathological features may be used as a method to predict the survival and prognosis of ESCC patients, which is expected to provide a reference for the development of personalized treatment for patients.
ObjectiveTo evaluate the diagnostic value of various severity assessment scoring systems for sepsis after cardiac surgery and the predictive value for long-term prognosis.MethodsThe clinical data of patients who underwent cardiac sugeries including coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and (or) valve reconstruction/valve replacement were extracted from Medical Information Mark for Intensive Care-Ⅲ (MIMIC-Ⅲ). A total of 6 638 patients were enrolled in this study, including 4 558 males and 2 080 females, with an average age of 67.0±12.2 years. Discriminatory power was determined by comparing the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) for each scoring system individually using the method of DeLong. An X-tile analysis was used to determine the optimal cut-off point for each scoring system, and the patients were grouped by the cut-off point, and Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank test were applied to analyze their long-term survival.ResultsCompared with the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, acute physiology score-Ⅲ (APS-Ⅲ, P<0.001), the simplified acute physiology score-Ⅱ (SAPS-Ⅱ, P<0.001) and logistic organ dysfunction score (LODS, P<0.001) were more accurate in distinguishing sepsis. Compared with the non-septic group, the 10-year overall survival rate of the septic group was lower (P<0.001). Except for the systemic inflammation response score (SIRS) system, the 10-year overall survival rates of patients in the high risk layers of SOFA (HR=2.50, 95%CI 2.23-2.80, P<0.001), SAPS (HR=2.93, 95%CI 2.64-3.26, P<0.001), SAPS-Ⅱ (HR=2.77, 95%CI 2.51-3.04, P<0.001), APS-Ⅲ (HR=2.90, 95%CI 2.63-3.20, P<0.001), LODS (HR=2.17, 95%CI 1.97-2.38, P<0.001), modified logistic organ dysfunction score (MLODS, HR=2.04, 95%CI 1.86-2.25, P<0.001) and the Oxford acute severity of illness score (OASIS, HR=2.37, 95%CI 2.16-2.60, P<0.001) systems were lower than those in the low risk layers.ConclusionCompared with SOFA score, APS-Ⅲ score may have higher value in the diagnosis of sepsis in patients who undergo isolated CABG, a valve procedure or a combination of both. Except for SIRS scoring system, SOFA, APS-Ⅲ, SAPS, SAPS-Ⅱ, LODS, MLODS and OASIS scoring systems can be applied to predict the long-term outcome of patients after cardiac surgery.
Objective To analyze the clinical efficacy and survival outcome of totally thoracoscopic redo mitral valve replacement and evaluate its efficiency and safety. Methods The clinical data of patients with totally thoracoscopic redo mitral valve replacement in Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital between 2013 and 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to determine the risk factors for postoperative death. Results There were 48 patients including 29 females and 19 males with a median age of 53 (44, 66) years. All the procedures were performed successfully with no conversion to median sternotomy. A total of 15, 10 and 23 patients received surgeries under non-beating heart, beating heart and ventricular fibrillation, respectively. The in-hospital mortality rate was 6.25% (3/48), and the incidence of early postoperative complications was 18.75% (9/48). Thirty-five (72.92%) patients had their tracheal intubation removed within 24 hours after the operation. The 1- and 6-year survival rates were 89.50% (95%CI 81.30%-98.70%) and 82.90% (95%CI 71.50%-96.20%), respectively. Age>65 years was an independent risk factor for postoperative death (P=0.04). Conclusion Totally thoracoscopic redo mitral valve replacement is safe and reliable, with advantages of rapid recovery, reducing blood transfusion rate, reducing postoperative complications and acceptable long-term survival rate. It is worthy of being widely popularized in the clinic.
ObjectiveTo explore the risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) and construct a nomogram survival prediction model.MethodsThe patients with MBC from 2010 to 2013 were collected from surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database, then were randomly divided into training group and validation group by R software. SPSS software was used to compare the survival and prognosis of MBC patients with different metastatic sites in the training group by log-rank method and construct the Kaplan-Meier survival curve. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the factors of 3-year overall survival, then construct a nomogram survival prediction model by the independent prognostic factors. The C-index was used to evaluate its predictive value and the calibration curve was used to verify the nomogram survival prediction model by internal and external calibration graph.ResultsA total of 3 288 patients with MBC were collected, including 2 304 cases in the training group and 984 cases in the validation group. The data of the two groups were comparable. The median follow-up time of training group and validation group was 34 months and 34 months, respectively. In the training group, the results of Cox proportional hazards model showed that the older, black race, higher histological grading, without operation, ER (–), PR (–), HER-2 (–), and metastases of bone, brain, liver and lung were the risk factors of survival prognosis (P<0.05) and constructed the nomogram survival prediction model with these independent prognostic factors. The nomogram survival prediction showed a good accuracy with C-index of 0.704 [95%CI (0.691, 0.717)] in internal validation (training group) and C-index of 0.691 [95%CI (0.671, 0.711)] in external validation (validation group) in predicting 3-year overall survival. All calibration curves showed excellent consistency.ConclusionNomogram for predicting 3-year overall survival of patients with MBC in this study has a good predictive capability, and it is conducive to development of individualized clinical treatment.
Objective To make a survival analysis for the stage ⅠA non-small cell lung cancer patients who underwent lobectomy, segmentectomy or wedge resection and to discuss whether the segmentectomy and wedge resection can be used as a conventional operation. Methods The clinical data of 474 patients diagnosed with ⅠA non-small cell lung cancer from January 2012 to June 2015 in the First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University were retrospectively anlyzed. There were 192 males and 282 females with a mean age of 60 years. Their sex, age, histological type, tumor size, surgical pattern, smoking, drinking, survival rate, disease-free survival rate, recurrence rate were compared. Results Disease-free survival rate of patients with wedge resection was significantly lower than that of the patients undergoing lobectomy and segmentectomy (P<0.05). When tumor diameter≤19 mm, the disease-free survival rate of patients with wedge resection was lower than that of patients with lobectomy (P=0.006) and segmentectomy (P=0.065). Disease-free survival rate of patients with tumor diameter of 20-<30 mm was significantly lower than that of patients with tumor diameter≤19 mm (P=0.026). Excluding patients with wedge resection, disease-free survival of the patients with lobectomy and segmentectomy and tumor diameter of 20-<30 mm was significantly lower than that of patients with tumor diameter≤19 mm (P=0.036). Patients with wedge resection had significant higher risk of local recurrence than that of patients undergoing lobectomy (P<0.001) and segmentectomy (P=0.002). Conclusion StageⅠA non-small cell lung cancer patients undergoing segmentectomy can obtain approximate survival and disease-free survival rate compared with those with lobectomy, especially in patients with tumor diameter≤19 mm. Pulmonary wedge resection as surgical treatment of lung cancer patients must be selected carefully according to the actual situation and surgical purposes.
ObjectiveTo investigate the expression and clinical significance of HOXB7 mRNA and protein in colorectal cancer (CRC) tissues.MethodsThe expressions of HOXB7 mRNA were evaluated in 6 cases of adjacent colorectal mucosal (ACRM) tissues and 6 cases of CRC tissues by using RT-PCR. The HOXB7 protein expressions were evaluated in 30 cases of ACRM tissues and 98 cases of CRC tissues by using immunohistochemistry. The correlations between the expression of HOXB7 protein, and the clinicopathologic factors or the patient’ survival were analyzed.ResultsRT-PCR results showed that expression level of HOXB7 mRNA in CRC tissues was significantly higher than that of ACRM tissues (P=0.003). Immunohistochemistry results showed that significantly higher positive-expression rate of HOXB7 protein in CRC tissues compared with ACRM tissues (P<0.05). Positive expression of HOXB7 protein was associated with depth of tumor invasion, lymph node metastasis, and the TNM stage (P<0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that positive expression of HOXB7 protein was not inversely correlated with survival of CRC patients (P=0.865).ConclusionPositive expression of HOXB7 protein is a novel biomarker for estimating the progression of CRC, but remains of textual research may be to confirm the significance of HOXB7 protein for prognosis evaluation.
ObjectiveTo analyze the relevant risk factors affecting postoperative relapse-free survival (RFS) in the primary gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST) and develop a Nomogram predictive model of postoperative RFS for the GIST patients. MethodsThe patients diagnosed with GIST by postoperative pathology from January 2011 to December 2020 at the First Hospital of Lanzhou University and Gansu Provincial People’s Hospital were collected, and then were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7∶3 using R software function. The univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to identify the risk factors affecting the RFS for the GIST patients after surgery, and then based on this, the Nomogram predictive model was constructed to predict the probability of RFS at 3- and 5-year after surgery for the patients with GIST. The effectiveness of the Nomogram was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), consistency index (C-index), and calibration curve, and the clinical utility of the Nomogram and the modified National Institutes of Health (M-NIH) classification standard was evaluated using the decision curve analysis (DCA). ResultsA total of 454 patients were included, including 317 in the training set and 137 in the validation set. The results of multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the tumor location, tumor size, differentiation degree, American Joint Committee onCancer TNM stage, mitotic rate, CD34 expression, treatment method, number of lymph node detection, and targeted drug treatment time were the influencing factors of postoperative RFS for the GIST patients (P<0.05). The Nomogram predictive model was constructed based on the influencing factors. The C-index of the Nomogram in the training set and validation set were 0.731 [95%CI (0.679, 0.783)] and 0.685 [95%CI (0.647, 0.722)], respectively. The AUC (95%CI) of distinguishing the RFS at 3- and 5-year after surgery were 0.764 (0.681, 0.846) and 0.724 (0.661, 0.787) in the training set and 0.749 (0.625, 0.872) and 0.739 (0.647, 0.832) in the validation set, respectively. The calibration curve results showed that a good consistency of the 3-year and 5-year recurrence free survival rates between the predicted results and the actual results in the training set, while which was slightly poor in the validation set. There was a higher net benefit for the 3-year recurrence free survival rate after GIST surgery when the threshold probability range was 0.19 to 0.57. When the threshold probability range was 0.44 to 0.83, there was a higher net benefit for the 5-year recurrence free survival rate after GIST surgery. And within the threshold probability ranges, the net benefit of the Nomogram was better than the M-NIH classification system at the corresponding threshold probability. ConclusionsThe results of this study suggest that the patients with GIST located in the other sites (mainly including the esophagus, duodenum, and retroperitoneum), with tumor size greater than 5 cm, poor or undifferentiated differentiation, mitotic rate lower than 5/50 HPF, negative CD34 expression, ablation treatment, number of lymph nodes detected more than 4, and targeted drug treatment time less than 3 months need to closely pay attentions to the postoperative recurrence. The discrimination and clinical applicability of the Nomogram predictive model are good.
Objective Establishing Nomogram to predict the overall survival (OS) rate of patients with gastric adenocarcinoma by utilizing the database of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. Methods Obtained the data of 3 272 gastric adenocarcinoma patients who were diagnosed between 2004 and 2014 from the SEER database. These patients were randomly divided into training (n=2 182) and validation (n=1 090) cohorts. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was performed to evaluate the prognostic effects of multiple clinicopathologic factors on OS. Significant prognostic factors were combined to build Nomogram. The predictive performance of Nomogram was evaluated via internal (training cohort data) and external validation (validation cohort data) by calculating index of concordance (C-index) and plotting calibration curves. Results In the training cohort, the results of Cox proportional hazards regression model showed that, age at diagnosis, race, grade, 6th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage, histologic type, and surgery were significantly associated with the survival prognosis (P<0.05). These factors were used to establish Nomogram. The Nomograms showed good accuracy in predicting OS rate, with C-index of 0.751 ［95%CI was (0.738, 0.764)］ in internal validation and C-index of 0.753 ［95% CI was (0.734, 0.772)］ in external validation. All calibration curves showed excellent consistency between prediction by Nomogram and actual observation. Conclusion Novel Nomogram for patients with gastric adenocarcinoma was established to predict OS in our study has good prognostic significance, it can provide clinicians with more accurate and practical predictive tools which can quickly and accurately assess the patients’ survival prognosis individually, and can better guiding clinicians in the follow-up treatment of patients.